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How good were our Porsche investment picks, really?

14.10.2026 By Richard Lindhorst Add as preferred source
How good were our Porsche investment picks, really?

Anyone who makes predictions must be willing to be held accountable for them later. Since 2022, we have been regularly publishing our Porsche investment tips at the turn of the year. Our goal has never been solely to find models with the greatest potential for appreciation. At least as important was the question of which Porsches offer plenty of driving pleasure without their owners having to worry about a significant loss in value.

Before we publish our investment tips for 2027, it’s time to take stock. We’ve reviewed all of our recommendations from the past five years and compared them with the listing data from the Elferspot database. In doing so, we’re examining the trend in median prices and also taking changes in the mix of listings into account. This means we’re also factoring in the relationship to mileage. After all, an apparent drop in price doesn’t mean much if the vehicles on the market today have, on average, twice the mileage.

A Look at Our Porsche Investment Tips for 2022

Tip number 1 back then was the Porsche 968 Club Sport, with a median price of about 35,000 euros, as an underrated classic with upside potential. Five years later, the median asking price stands at around 50,000 euros. So it seems we had a pretty good nose for this one. The situation is similar with the 928 S4. We had considered it undervalued due to the strikingly large price gap compared to the 928 GT and GTS. Since then, the median asking price has risen from 25,000 to 28,000 euros to approximately 35,000 euros.

In our first issue of Porsche Investment Tips, we selected the Porsche 968 Club Sport, among others, as a classic car with potential.

We rated the 987-generation Porsche Boxster S as offering the ultimate driving pleasure combined with projected value retention. The median asking price, at around 33,000 to 35,000 euros, is currently at roughly the same level as in 2022. At the same time, average mileage figures are higher. This is another positive trend, though there have been no noticeable price increases. For the 911 Carrera 3.2 WTL, we predicted that it wouldn’t be long before good examples were no longer available for under 100,000 euros. We weren’t quite right about that. There are still plenty of wide-body G-models available for under 100,000 euros, though they have higher mileage and are now almost exclusively convertibles.

Asking prices for the Porsche 911 Carrera 3.2 WTL vary greatly depending on the model. Convertibles are still available for under 100,000 euros, while coupes generally are not.

Our analysis of the 991.1 Carrera GTS predicted that good cars with low mileage would likely no longer sell for less than 100,000 euros. Admittedly, the supposed “guaranteed return” was a bit sensationalist at the time. But in the end, this prediction also proved true. There are hardly any cars left available for five-figure prices, and if there are, they have high mileage. While the median listing price remained “only” constant, the average mileage rose noticeably in return.

Our first serve was a hit. Most of our predictions regarding the 2022 Porsche investment tips came true.

More good picks for budget-conscious Porsche drivers in 2023?

In the second issue, our first pick was the extremely rare Porsche 912 E. With prices well below 50,000 euros, we considered it a suitable entry-level investment. However, we cannot report a general upward trend in prices here. Rather, supply has remained constant, with slight upward outliers for top-tier examples. We must also note the same result regarding the price trend of the 911 Carrera 3.0. Despite its rarity, prices have moved sideways in recent years, meaning it has not yet been able to close the price gap with the Carrera 3.2.

The choice of the Porsche 356 C/SC as a classic car that retains its value also proved to be only partially accurate. In 2023, it still seemed relatively affordable given its historical significance, drivability, and price level at the time. Our hypothesis was that these cars were unlikely to get much cheaper. Adjusted for mileage, however, the price level today is about ten percent lower. So we were off the mark on this one.

It’s practically synonymous with value retention: the Porsche Cayman GT4 (981).

With the remaining two investment tips, however, we were spot on. We predicted that the Porsche Cayman GT4 from the 981 series would retain its value with virtually unshakable stability. That’s exactly what happened. Prices around the 100,000-euro mark remain the norm. At the time, we identified the Porsche 996 GT2 as a clear investment opportunity with bright prospects. Despite higher average mileage, its prices have since risen by nearly 50 percent on a median basis. Bull’s-eye!

A 100 percent hit rate in 2024!

After failing to meet our target in 2023, our Porsche investment tips for 2024 were spot on across the board. 993 Carrera models saw a median increase in value of just under 10 percent for comparable mileage, while the 991.2 GT3 Touring gained a solid 8 percent. The result is similar for the Porsche 944 S2, for which we also cautiously predicted potential for price appreciation. It has seen an increase in the range of ten percent.

The results of our two investment tips for collectors are much clearer. At the time, the Porsche 997.2 GT2 RS still seemed undervalued to us at prices below the 300,000-euro mark. Over the past nearly three years, prices have, so to speak, taken off. Instead of 350,000 to 400,000 euros, the median price for the extremely rare GT2 race car is now 530,000 euros.

The conclusion regarding the 918 Spyder is even clearer. Although the range of asking prices for Porsche’s third supercar is very wide and heavily dependent on the vehicle’s features, the trend is crystal clear. In 2023, the Spyder began to stabilize in the price range of 1.2 to 1.5 million euros. Since then, its value has continued to rise year after year. Auction results exceeding three or even four million U.S. dollars are no longer a surprise. Listing prices below two million euros are virtually nonexistent.

Investment Tips for 2025 from a different perspective

The Elferspot Investment Tips for 2025 were shaped by a desire for security and value stability amid politically and economically turbulent times. Consequently, the demand was for assets that were as unshakable and solid as possible and promised driving pleasure with as little worry as possible. So far, the predictions made there seem to be coming true. After all, the Porsche 981 Boxster Spyder, the 991.1 Carrera, and the 924 Turbo have all remained stable ever since.

In the case of the 997.2 GT3, we even observed moderate increases in the range of five to ten percent. The Porsche 911 Junior has also established itself in a steadily rising price range since then. Asking prices around 20,000 euros remain the norm. Thus, it rounds out another year with five correct picks among the “Elferspot” Porsche investment tips.

Porsche Investment Tips 2026

It’s, of course, still extremely early to evaluate our 2026 picks. But here, too, most of our predictions seem to be coming true. The Porsche Cayman R, 914, 911 T, and 997 GT2 are seeing moderate price increases. The 914, in particular, seems to be gaining significant popularity among buyers. Only the 997.2 Turbo with a manual transmission is difficult to assess. Due to the very limited production numbers and low supply on the market, it’s not yet possible to draw any conclusions.

If you want to play it safe, don’t think of your car as an investment from the start!

In hindsight, the success rate of our Elferspot investment tips is not bad at all. Many models performed exactly as we expected. Others even saw even stronger gains. At the same time, however, our analysis also clearly shows the limitations of our forecasts: The decline in value of the Porsche 356 C and the stable prices of the 912 E and 911 Carrera 3.0 demonstrate that there are no guarantees and that, in the end, it all comes down to pure speculation.

Rarity, a traceable history, and technical features can all speak in a model’s favor. Nevertheless, they do not turn a car into a tool for predictable and sound wealth accumulation.

That is the fundamental risk of so-called “garage gold.” Rarity, a traceable history, and technical features can all speak in a model’s favor. Nevertheless, they do not turn a car into a tool for predictable and sound wealth accumulation. Markets change, demand shifts, and short-term price increases can turn out to be nothing more than a short hype.

On top of that, there’s one factor that’s often overlooked in pure price comparisons: A Porsche costs money even when it’s not being driven. Maintenance, repairs, insurance, taxes, and storage quickly eat into your theoretical returns. That’s why, in future editions of our investment tips, we’ll continue to emphasize a form of return that can’t be quantified: the joy of driving! With this message, we’d like to leave you to speculate on which models will make it into the Elferspot Porsche Investment Tips 2027.

Photos: David Fierlinger, Elferspot

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